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Table 3 Total number of cases, peak number of cases and peak day under HScontrol with various alert values

From: Analysis of CDC social control measures using an agent-based simulation of an influenza epidemic in a city

Alert value (infection cases) Probability of outbreak (%) Total cases Compared with 20 (%) 95% CI Peak cases Compared with 20 (%) 95% CI Peak day Compared with 20 (%) 95% CI
20 97 4494   4219-4781 134   107-160 48   36-71
50 98 4503 100.2 4209-4832 142 106.0 119-174 38 79.2 23-51
100 98 4520 100.6 4152-4869 152 113.4 110-191 37 77.1 24-51
200 99 4586 102.0 4239-4839 173 129.1 139-208 31 64.6 23-44
500 97 4743 105.5 4454-5083 210 156.7 168-261 29 60.4 20-37
1000 97 4954 110.2 4752-5163 272 203.0 237-316 29 60.4 22-43
  1. Compliance level is 50% for H, 100% for S.