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Table 1 Total number of cases, peak number of cases and peak day under different control measures

From: Analysis of CDC social control measures using an agent-based simulation of an influenza epidemic in a city

Scenario ID Compliance level Probability of outbreak (%) Total cases Compared with N(%) 95% CI Peak cases Compared with N(%) 95% CI Peak day Compared with N(%) 95% CI
N   > 99 5703   5539-5872 308   274-345 31   22-44
  25% 99 5709 100.1 5522-5913 309 100.3 280-354 30 96.8 23-39
A 50% 100 5706 100.1 5537-5879 307 99.7 272-344 31 100.0 23-44
  75% 100 5701 100.0 5481-5921 307 99.7 264-346 31 100.0 23-44
  100% 98% 5695 99.9 5533-5890 308 100.0 271-349 32 103.2 23-51
S 100% 100 5461 95.8 5233-5666 219 71.1 187-256 39 125.8 30-51
  25% 100 5403 94.7 5138-5583 277 89.9 244-307 34 109.7 23-51
H 50% 93 4992 87.5 4758-5215 244 79.2 215-278 35 112.9 23-51
  75% 94 4428 77.6 4199-4704 204 66.2 178-243 41 132.3 23-65
  100% 68 3635 63.7 3376-3843 158 51.3 131-192 46 148.4 29-84
AS 50%, 100% > 99 5449 95.5 5240-5648 222 72.1 192-253 39 125.8 30-51
AH 50%, 50% 97 5000 87.7 4754-5244 243 78.9 209-276 35 112.9 23-51
HS 50%, 100% 97 4494 78.8 4219-4781 134 43.5 107-160 48 154.8 36-71
AHS 50%, 50%, 100% 97 4453 78.1 4008-4753 135 43.8 104-162 51 164.5 36-79
  1. Alert value is 20 for all scenarios except N.