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During the summer 2009 outbreak of "swine flu" in Scotland what respiratory pathogens were diagnosed as H1N1/2009?
© Gunson and Carman; licensee BioMed Central Ltd. 2011
Received: 5 March 2010
Accepted: 13 July 2011
Published: 13 July 2011
During the April-July 2009 outbreak of H1N1/2009 in scotland the West of Scotland Specialist Virology Centre (WoSSVC) in Glasgow tested > 16 000 clinical samples for H1N1/2009. Most were from patients clinically diagnosed with H1N1/2009. Out of these, 9% were positive. This study sought to determine what respiratory pathogens were misdiagnosed as cases of H1N1/2009 during this time.
We examined the results from 3247 samples which were sent to the laboratory during April-July 2009. All were from patients clinically diagnosed as having H1N1/2009 (based on accepted criteria) and all were given a full respiratory screen using real time reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (rtRT-PCR) assays.
In total, respiratory pathogens were detected in 27.9% (95% confidence interval, 26.3-29.5%) of the samples submitted. Numerous pathogens were detected, the most common of which were rhinovirus (8.9% (95% confidence interval, 7.9-9.9%)), parainfluenza 1 (1.9% (95% confidence interval, 1.4-2.4%)) and 3 (4.1% (95% confidence interval, 3.3-4.9%)), and adenovirus ((3.5% (95% confidence interval, 2.9-4.2%)).
This study highlights the problems of using a clinical algorithm to detect H1N1/2009. Clinicians frequently misdiagnosed common respiratory pathogens as H1N1/2009 during the spring/summer outbreak in Scotland. Many undesirable consequences would have resulted, relating to treatment, infection control, and public health surveillance.
On April 15th and 17th 2009, a novel swine-lineage influenza A (H1N1/2009) infection was reported to the World Health Organisation (WHO) by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in Atlanta. The virus was detected in two children from adjacent counties in southern California presenting with febrile respiratory illness [1, 2]. These cases were not epidemiologically linked and neither child had exposure to swine. Subsequent phylogenetic characterisation of H1N1/2009 from the U.S. index case (A/California/04/2009) showed that the virus had a unique genome composition that had not been previously identified. Six genes (PB2, PB1, PA, HA, NP, and NS) were similar to viruses previously identified in triple-reassortant swine influenza viruses in North American pigs. The remaining two genes (NA and M) were derived from Eurasian swine influenza viruses. This particular gene constellation had never been previously identified in humans or other reservoirs.
Following the original identification of Influenza A/H1N1/2009 in the United States, sustained human-to-human transmission was seen in other countries, and on June 11, 2009, the WHO declared that the virus was responsible for the first influenza pandemic of the 21st century .
The clinical and epidemiological criteria for the screening and testing of H1N1/2009 cases
Fever orhistory of fever and flu-like illness or severe life threatening illness suggestive of an infectious process
Onset of illness within 7 days of travelling to an area where sustained transmission of H1N1/2009 is occurring
Contacts with a probable/confirmed case of H1N1/2009
A large number of viral infections, drugs and other diseases can cause disease presentations similar to those presented in Table 1. This is especially true for respiratory pathogens. The present study sought to determine what respiratory pathogens were diagnosed as cases of H1N1/2009 during the containment phase.
Background to the respiratory service in place during April-July 2009
During April-July 2009 all respiratory samples submitted from patients with a clinical diagnosis of H1N1/2009 (as stated on the specimen request form), were initially tested using a universal influenza A real time rtRT-PCR assay and a H1N1/2009 specific real time rtRT-PCR assay .
If the sample was negative on these tests and was from a hospitalised patient, a patient deemed at risk of severe respiratory infection (e.g. an immunocompromised or a pregnant patient), or a patient attending GP services taking part in local or national surveillance schemes, a full respiratory screen was carried out (see below for details regarding the full respiratory screen). Note that this information was derived from the sample request form.
With regard to (i) samples from GP services not taking part in the surveillance schemes mentioned above, (ii) follow-up samples from known H1N1/2009 positive patients, and (iii) samples from patients with no clinical/setting details, only the initial screening test was conducted.
To determine which respiratory pathogens had been misdiagnosed as H1N1/2009, we examined the results of 3247 samples which had been given a full respiratory screen during the period April-July 2009.
Patient groups per month of the 3247 samples
% (95% confidence interval)
%(95% confidence interval)
% (95% confidence interval)
% (95% confidence interval)
% (95% confidence interval)
< 1 yrs
> 65 yrs
Total nucleic acid was extracted from respiratory specimens using QIAamp Viral RNA kit (Qiagen, Crawley, United Kingdom) according to the manufacturer's instructions.
Real-time RT-PCR was carried out in order to detect influenza A (a generic assay and a H1N1/2009 specific assay ), B and C, RSV, rhinovirus, parainfluenza 1-4, human metapneumovirus, coronavirus (229E, NL63, HKU1 and OC43), adenovirus, and Mycoplasma pneumoniae.
Primer and probe sequences for the respiratory multiplex rtPCR
Forward primer sequence
Reverse primer sequence
Cytadhesin P1 (P1) gene
Human metapneumovirus A
Human metapneumovirus B
GCYGTYAGCTTCAGTCAATTCAA (Common with A)
Parainfluenza virus 1
Parainfluenza virus 2
Parainfluenza virus 3
Parainfluenza virus 4
Human coronavirus 229E
Human coronavirus OC43
Human coronavirus NL63
Respiratory syncitial virus A
Respiratory syncitial virus B
All assays used the primers at a final concentration of 0.4 μM and the probe at 0.2 μM in a 15 μl reaction volume. One-step rtRT-PCR was performed on 6 μl of RNA extract with the Platinum One-step qRT-PCR kit (Invitrogen life technologies, Paisley, UK) on an ABI Prism 7500 SDS real-time platform (Applied Biosystems). The following thermal profile was used: a single cycle of reverse transcription for 15 min at 50°C, 2 min at 95°C for reverse transcriptase inactivation and DNA polymerase activation followed by 40 amplification cycles of 15 sec at 95°C and 34 secs at 60°C each (annealing-extension step). Data acquisition occurred at the annealing step of each cycle, and the threshold cycle (Ct) for each sample was calculated by determining the point at which the fluorescence exceeded the threshold limit.
The percentage detection rate for each pathogen was analysed monthly, and for the overall study period. Binomial 95% confidence intervals were also determined for each detection rate. A chi-squared test was used for any comparisons of two data sets.
Please note that ethical approval was not required for this paper as the samples were collected as part of routine diagnostic work.
Detection rate in all samples per month
Detection rate in all samples per month
% (95% CI)
% (95% CI)
% (95% CI)
% (95% CI)
% (95% CI)
Respiratory syncitial virus
Discussion and conclusions
This study highlights the problems of using a clinical algorithm to detect H1N1/2009 during a period of low incidence. We found that clinicians frequently misdiagnosed common respiratory pathogens as H1N1/2009 during the spring/summer outbreak in Scotland. This finding is similar to results found in a recent audit of patients hospitalised with clinically diagnosed H1N1/2009 in infectious disease units in Scotland .
The pathogens that were misdiagnosed as H1N1/2009 were, for the most part, those viruses expected to be encountered during the spring/summer months. Although all the pathogens included in the respiratory screen were detected on at least one occasion, rhinovirus was the most commonly detected pathogen. This is not a surprising finding, since rhinovirus is detected all the year round; moreover, it is recognised as a very common cause of the common cold and is increasingly being implicated in more severe clinical syndromes . PF1, PF3, adenovirus and human metapneumovirus were also frequently detected.
An unexpected finding was the frequent detection of parainfluenza 1, a pathogen which is traditionally recognised as a winter pathogen. However, our data shows that there were numerous cases of parainfluenza 1 during April-July 2009, and these mirrored the activity of H1N1/2009. The unexpected summer activity of parainfluenza 1 mirrors that of parainfluenza 4 in 2008, which was also unexpectedly detected during the summer months (data not shown). This suggests that the epidemiology of established viruses, such as parainfluenza 1, should be re-examined in the light of new, more sensitive, molecular assays.
It should be noted that the majority (~70%) of samples submitted to the laboratory were found to be negative by real time rtRT-PCR. By participation in various EQA schemes, the assays used by the laboratory have been shown to be highly sensitive. Consequently, the large number of negative results are unlikely to have been caused by the pathogens already tested for in the screen. However, the respiratory screen does not include an internal control. Consequently, false negatives due to inhibition may have occurred. Nevertheless, the number of samples affected is likely to be small, since a recent in-house audit found that inhibition occurs in ~1% of throat and nasal swabs submitted to our laboratory. Poor sampling may also have led to false negative results. However, as with the case of inhibition, the contribution of this factor is likely to be minimal.
We cannot rule out that the possibility that these samples may have contained other respiratory pathogens not currently included in the respiratory screen (e.g. boca, HKU1 or bacterial respiratory pathogens). In future, the use of a larger testing panel either by further developing the existing service or by using an alternative method (e.g. microarray) would be useful to examine negative samples. Another possibility is that other infective and non-infective agents could have been present. For example, the previously-mentioned audit of patients presenting at infectious disease units found an alternative non-respiratory diagnosis in ~40% of patients initially clinically diagnosed as having H1N1/2009 . Another explanation could be that a number of samples were actually from the worried well, or from asymptomatic contacts of known or suspected cases of H1N1/2009. An audit similar to the one outlined in the publication above  would help to clarify this issue.
It should be noted that the samples examined are representative of our coding protocol and may not be representative of the population at large. Consequently, certain patient groups either with or at risk of severe infection may be over-represented in the final data. Whether or not this is the case, the present study shows that numerous respiratory pathogens were being misdiagnosed as H1N1/2009. The misdiagnosis of H1N1/2009 would have had many undesirable consequences. For example, potentially serious conditions may have been wrongly diagnosed as H1N1/2009 . In addition a large number of individuals are likely to have been unnecessarily treated with oseltamivir . This involves unnecessary cost, and would also have exposed individuals to the side effects of oseltamivir . It should further be noted that there could well have been emotional costs in being wrongly labelled as having "swine flu", especially at the early stage of the pandemic, when the severity and outcome of the illness was still largely unknown. In hospitalised patients, unnecessary infection control procedures may have been implemented [10–12]. Disease surveillance may also have been inaccurate, affecting public health measures and leading to increased panic/concern in the general public.
One way to overcome these issues would be to incorporate a near-patient testing component into the algorithm outlined above. This would no doubt reduce the amount of unnecessary treatment and isolation, and would ensure that surveillance data was more accurate. Such a test would need to be very rapid, sensitive, and specific. Although a number of methods have been described, these can be expensive and - in comparison to PCR-based methods - can be insensitive and non-specific . As a result, PCR methods may be required to investigate influenza negative samples and in low prevalence periods, such as the time period examined in this study, PCR may also be required to confirm positive results.
The authors would like to acknowledge the following individuals. Dr Tony Speekenbrink for advice on statistics. Rhona Miller, Walt Adamson, Alasdair Maclean and Susan Bennett for advice and comments relating to the paper. Finally the authors would like to thank the Scottish poet and English teacher Donald Adamson for proofreading the various versions of this paper.
The Corresponding Author has the right to grant on behalf of all authors and does grant on behalf of all authors, an exclusive licence (or non exclusive for government employees).
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